Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills will host Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs in the 2024 NFL playoffs on Sunday. The Bills enter the AFC Divisional Round full of confidence after winning their last six games. Meanwhile, the Chiefs are the defending Super Bowl champions and are coming off an impressive 26-7 win over the Miami Dolphins. You can watch the game on CBS and stream it live on Paramount+.
Kickoff from Highmark Stadium is set for 6:30 p.m. ET on CBS and Paramount+. The SportsLine consensus has Buffalo 2.5-point favorites in the latest Bills vs. Chiefs odds, while the over/under for the total score is 45.5. Before locking in any Chiefs vs. Bills selections, you need to check out the latest NFL predictions from SportsLine’s proven projection model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, has bet over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL selections since its inception. The model enters the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs with an incredible 183-129 run on top-rated NFL picks dating back to the 2017 season. It is on a 37-21 roll on top-rated picks since Week 7 of last season and has had seven straight top-rated picks entering the 2024 NFL Playoffs.
The model ranked in the top 10 in straight-up NFL picks on NFL Pick’em in four of the last six years and beat out more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Whoever has followed it is very high.
Now, the model has focused on the Bills vs. Chiefs and revealed its picks and predictions. You can see the choice of models only on Sportsline. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for the Chiefs vs. Bills:
- Bills vs. Chiefs Spread: Buffalo -2.5
- Bills vs. Chiefs over/under: 45.5 points
- Bills vs. Chiefs Money Line: Buffalo -149, Kansas City +125
- KC: The Chiefs were 10-7 against the spread this season
- BUF: The Bills are 8-10 ATS this season
- Bills vs. Chiefs picks: Watch the picks on SportsLine
- Bills vs. Chiefs Live Stream: Paramount+ (Try Free for a Week)
Why cover bills
Buffalo has four pass catchers with 44 or more receptions, led by wide receiver Stefon Diggs. In 17 games, Diggs has 107 receptions for 1,183 yards (11.1 average) and eight scores. He also had 10 explosive plays of 20 yards or more, including a long of 55 yards. Tight end Dalton Kincaid has also been a thorn in the side of opposing defenses with 73 receptions for 673 yards (9.2 average) and two TDs.
One of Buffalo’s top defenders is veteran safety Jordan Poyer. The 11-year veteran played in 16 games, making 101 tackles, including 67 solo. He had one sack for four yards and two tackles for loss. He made a mistake once while breaking four dice. Poyer had a solid performance in Monday’s win over Pittsburgh, recording six tackles, including four solo. Here’s a look at which team to pick.
Why can the chief cover
Chiefs are the defending champions and have won 10 of their last 12 matches. Kansas City is also 16-3 in its last 19 games against an AFC opponent. The Chiefs suffered a 20–17 setback against the Bills on December 10, but rookie wide receiver Rashee Rice was effective in the loss.
Rice finished with seven receptions for 72 yards and a touchdown against Buffalo. He finished the regular season with seven touchdown receptions and has found the end zone in three of his last five games overall. In last week’s win over the Dolphins, Rice had eight receptions on 12 targets for 130 yards and a touchdown. He averaged 16.3 yards per catch and had three receptions of at least 20 yards against Miami. Here’s a look at which team to pick.
How to choose Bills vs Chiefs
SportsLine’s model is leaning forward, predicting a total of 48 points. The model also says that one side of the spread has full value. You can see the model’s NFL picks and analysis only on SportsLine.
So who wins Chiefs vs. Bills in the NFL Playoffs 2024, and which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Chiefs vs. Bills spread you should jump on, with the Advanced Model rolling 183-129 on NFL Picks, and find out.
