The Milwaukee Brewers face the New York Mets in a battle between National League contenders at Citi Field in New York in a rescheduled MLB Opening Day matchup on Friday. Thursday’s game was postponed due to rain. The Brewers (92-70 in 2023), who won the Central Division by nine games over the Chicago Cubs, traded away ace Corbin Burns in the offseason and will be without closer Devin Williams because of a back injury. The Mets (75-87 in 2023), who were fourth in the East Division, also made several changes to their pitching staff. The biggest improvement, however, will be the healthy return of bullpen anchor Edwin Diaz.
The game will start at 1:40 pm ET. The Brewers had MLB’s best pitching staff in 2023 with a 3.71 ERA, while the Mets were 19th at 4.30. The latest Mets vs. Brewers odds from SportsLine consensus have New York a slight -114 favorite on the money line (risk $114 to win $100), while the over/under for total runs scored is 7.5. Before making any Brewers vs. Mets picks, be sure to check out the MLB predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer simulation model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates each MLB game 10,000 times. It has been a profitable 93-74 season on top-rated MLB picks, and has excelled on top-rated run-line picks, going 18-6 (+766). Anyone who has followed has seen big returns.
Now, the model has turned its attention to the Brewers vs. Mets with its picks and MLB predictions. You can head over to SportsLine now to see the model picks. Now, here are several MLB odds and betting lines for the Brewers vs. Mets:
- Mets vs. Brewers Money Line: New York -114, Milwaukee -106
- Mets vs. Brewers Over/Under: 7.5 Runs
- Mets vs. Brewers Run Line: Milwaukee -1.5 (+161)
- MIL: The Brewers finished last season with a plus-81 run differential
- NYM: The Mets have won two of the last three home series against Milwaukee
- Mets vs. Brewers picks: Watch the picks on SportsLine
Why should you support the Mets?
New York will send left-hander Jose Quintana to the mound. The 35-year-old has been a foe for Milwaukee for years, posting a 9-5 record in 19 starts and 20 appearances against the Brewers. In 113 innings against Milwaukee, he has a 3.11 ERA, while walking 32 batters and striking out 114. He gave up 87 hits and allowed only 39 earned runs. Over the past 11 seasons, Quintana has appeared in 328 games, including 302 starts, and compiled a 92–93 record and 3.57 ERA.
First baseman Pete Alonso supplies the power for New York. He led the team with 46 homers and added 118 RBI and 92 runs scored the year before. It was the third time in his five-year career that he had 40 or more homers. In 25 career games against the Brewers, he has six homers and 18 RBIs with three doubles and a triple. Here’s a look at which team to pick.
Why should you support the brewers?
Milwaukee, which will have Freddy Peralta on the mound, lost one of its power hitters at the end of spring training when outfielder Garrett Mitchell broke his left hand after getting caught on a swing over the weekend. He is expected to be absent for about two months. However, in their place will be a group of youngsters competing for playing time with a ton of prospects. One of them is 20-year-old Jackson Chourio, who is being penciled in center field. Although he has played just six games above the Double-A level, Milwaukee signed him to a large contract in the offseason. Last year at Double-A Biloxi, he hit .280 with 22 homers, three triples, 23 doubles and 89 RBI in 122 games.
The Brewers also added a veteran presence in former Philadelphia Phillies first baseman Rhys Hoskins, who missed last year due to an ACL injury. Milwaukee signed him as a free agent last offseason as they hope to continue where he left off in 2022. In his six seasons before the injury, Hoskins played in 667 games for the Phillies, batting .242 with 148 homers, 149 doubles. Seven triples and 405 RBI. He hit 30 homers in 2022, while driving in 79 runs. Here’s a look at which team to pick.
How to Make Brewers vs. Mets Picks
SportsLine’s model is projecting a total of 8.6 combined runs. It also said that one side of the money line has all the value and revealed an A-rated pick on the run line. You can get the MLB Choice of models only at SportsLine.
So who wins the Brewers vs. Mets, and which side should you support? Head over to SportsLine now to see where you need to jump, all from the model that went 18-6 on top-rated MLB run-line picks last season, and find out.
