We’ve got another exciting Western Conference matchup on the schedule, as the Denver Nuggets and Dallas Mavericks are scheduled to take on the American Airlines Center on Sunday at 3:30 PM ET. Dallas is 38-29 overall and 20-15 at home, while Denver is 47-20 overall and 20-14 on the road. These two teams have split their last 10 head-to-head meetings.
On Sunday, the latest Mavericks vs. Nuggets odds have the Nuggets favored by 4 points, while the over/under is 229 points. Before entering any Nuggets vs. Mavericks picks, you’ll want to check out the NBA predictions from the advanced computer model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has made profits of over $10,000 for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five seasons. The model entered Week 21 of the 2023-24 NBA season with a stellar 70-46 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season and a return of nearly $2,200. Anyone who has followed this has seen huge returns.
The model has focused on Denver vs. Dallas. You can visit SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for the game:
- Mavericks vs. Nuggets Spread: Mavs +4
- Mavericks vs. Nuggets Over/Under: 229 points
- Mavericks vs. Nuggets Money Line: Mavs: +141, Nuggets: -168
- Mavericks vs. Nuggets picks: Check out the picks here
What you need to know about nuggets
The Nuggets enter their tilt with the Spurs on the back of four consecutive wins but they will enter their next game with five. Denver came out on top against the Spurs on Friday with a score of 117-106. It’s a little easier to win when you work as a team to get 14 more assists than your opponent, as the Nuggets did.
Among the leaders was Nikola Jokic, who scored 31 points with seven rebounds and five assists. For the season, Jokic is averaging 26.0 points, 12.2 rebounds and 9.1 assists. Denver is 5-1 against the spread in their last six games on the road and the Nuggets have covered the spread in four of their last five meetings against Dallas.
What you need to know about Mavericks
Meanwhile, the Mavericks unfortunately saw their four-game winning streak come to an end on Thursday. Dallas took a 126-119 hit in the column in a loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Mavericks may have lost, but Kyrie Irving was extremely effective, making 4 of 7 shots from long range and dropping a double-double with 36 points and 12 assists. Tim Hardaway Jr. was another key contributor, shooting 5 of 9 from long range and dropping a near double-double with 23 points and nine rebounds.
The Mavericks are averaging 119.0 points per game this season, which ranks sixth in the NBA. Dallas is 4-1 in their last five games but the Mavericks are just 3-11 in their last 14 games played on Sunday.
How to Make Mavericks vs. Nuggets Picks
The model has simulated Mavericks vs. Nuggets 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning, and it has also produced a point-spread pick that hits in about 60% of the simulations. You can watch the selection only on SportsLine.
Who wins Nuggets vs. Mavericks, and which side of the spread gets hit about 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see all the picks of the model playing the 70-46 roll on top-rated NBA picks and find out.