We’ve got another exciting Western Conference matchup on Wednesday’s NBA schedule as the Dallas Mavericks host the Golden State Warriors. Dallas is 37-28 overall and 19-15 at home, while Golden State is 34-30 overall and 17-13 on the road. The Mavs won the only previous meeting of the season between the teams on December 30, 132–122. The Warriors are 34-28-2 against the spread in the 2023-24 NBA season, while the Mavericks are 35-30 versus. The number.
Tip-off is at 8:30 p.m. ET at the American Airlines Center in Dallas. According to the SportsLine consensus, the Mavs are favored by 7 points in the latest Mavericks vs. Warriors odds, and the over/under is 233 points. Before entering any Warriors vs. Mavericks picks, you’ll want to check out the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has made a profit of more than $10,000 for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five seasons. The model entered Week 21 of the 2023-24 NBA season with a stellar 70-46 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season and a return of nearly $2,200. Anyone who has followed this has seen huge returns.
The model has focused on Golden State vs. Dallas. You can visit SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Warriors vs. Mavericks:
- Mavericks vs. Warriors Spread: Mavericks -7
- Mavericks vs Warriors Over/Under: 233 points
- Mavericks vs. Warriors Money Line: Mavericks: -276, Warriors: +225
- Mavericks vs. Warriors picks: Watch the picks on SportsLine
What you need to know about Mavericks
The Mavericks started their match on Monday with two consecutive wins, but they fell to three consecutive wins. They could not be stopped as they easily defeated the Chicago Bulls 127–92. The Mavs got the win on the strength of several key players, but in front was Luka Doncic who dropped a triple-double of 27 points, 12 rebounds and 14 assists. Doncic hasn’t dropped below 26 points for 15 consecutive games. Another difference-maker was Derek Lively II, who scored 22 points with seven rebounds and two steals.
Doncic has recorded seven consecutive triple-doubles, and his 17 on the season are already a career high. He is complemented by another elite offensive player in Kyrie Irving, who is averaging 25.2 points, 5.0 rebounds and 4.9 assists. Meanwhile, there are two players in the NBA who are shooting at least 70% from the field (minimum 1,000 minutes), and they both play for Dallas in Daniel Gafford (70.6%) and Lively (75.1%). Here’s a look at which team to pick.
What you need to know about warriors
Meanwhile, Golden State picked up a 112-102 win over the San Antonio Spurs on Monday. The success was a return to normality for the Warriors, who had suffered an unexpected 126–113 defeat to the Spurs in their previous encounter. Golden State was without Stephen Curry (ankle), and he will be out for Wednesday’s game. Without Curry, the Warriors saw six players reach double figures in the win over San Antonio, led by Jonathan Kuminga’s 22 points and Klay Thompson’s 21 points.
Things finally looked up for Kuminga this season, as over his last 27 games he is averaging 20.2 points on 55.4% shooting. Meanwhile, the Warriors are also above average defensively, ranking in the top 10 in field goal percentage allowed, 3-point percentage allowed and turnovers forced per game. Golden State is 2-2-1 against the spread without Curry this season. Here’s a look at which team to pick.
How to make Mavericks vs Warriors picks
The model has simulated Warriors vs. Mavericks 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning down, and it has also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in about 60% of the simulations. You can watch the selection only on SportsLine.
So who wins Mavs vs. Warriors, and which side of the spread gets hit roughly 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Warriors vs. Mavs spread you need to jump on, from the model at 70-46 on the top-rated NBA picks this season, and find out.