The former league MVPs will face off in the 2024 AFC Championship Game on Sunday at M&T Bank Stadium when the Baltimore Ravens host the Kansas City Chiefs. Baltimore (14-4) is the AFC’s No. 1 seed and beat Houston last week behind Lamar Jackson’s total of four touchdowns. The quarterback was named the 2019 league MVP and is the favorite to win this year’s award. The Chiefs (13-6) beat the Bills 27-24 last Sunday and advance to the AFC Championship Game in 2024, their sixth consecutive appearance as the No. 3 seed and defending Super Bowl champions. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes is the reigning league and Super Bowl MVP and also won both awards in 2018.
Sunday’s kickoff at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore is set for 3 p.m. ET on CBS and Paramount+. According to SportsLine Consensus, the latest Ravens vs. Chiefs odds list Baltimore as a 4.5-point favorite, while the over/under for total points scored is 44. Before you make any Chiefs vs. Ravens picks, you have to look at what’s been proven, says SportsLine NFL expert Mike Tierney, given his expertise in picks involving the Ravens.
A veteran sports writer whose work appears periodically in The New York Times and the Los Angeles Times, Tierney has covered the NFL for decades and has reported from seven Super Bowls. He had a generally strong NFL season in 2022, going 68-54-6 and returning $815 to $100 to players. Additionally, he has gone an impressive 48-19-2 in his last 69 NFL picks in games involving the Ravens, returning a whopping $2,702. Whoever has followed him has come a long way.
Now, Tierney breaks down the Chiefs vs. Ravens and reveals his picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see their picks. Now, here are several NFL odds and betting trends for Ravens vs. Chiefs:
- Ravens vs. Chiefs Spread: Baltimore -4.5
- Ravens vs. Chiefs Over/Under: 44 points
- Ravens vs. Chiefs Money Line: Baltimore -223, Kansas City +183
- KC: The Chiefs are 20-10-1 under Andy Reid (since 2013)
- BAL: Ravens are 14-7 ATS in the playoffs under John Harbaugh (since 2008)
- Ravens vs. Chiefs picks: Watch the picks on SportsLine
- Ravens vs. Chiefs Live Stream: Paramount+ (Try Free)
Why can ravens cover
Baltimore is 7-3 (6-4 ATS) at home this season, with one loss in overtime, another loss by double digits and a third loss in Week 18 with most of the starters on the bench. Lamar Jackson could take advantage of his experience in the 2021 meeting, when he threw for 239 yards and scored 107 runs in a 36-35 home win. The quarterback has rushed for 921 yards in 19 games, leading the league’s No. 1-ranked rushing attack (160.6 yards per game). The Ravens are 12-6 ATS overall in 2023.
The Ravens rank sixth overall in offense (369.3 yards per game) and third in yards per play (6.0). The Baltimore defense, led by linebackers Roquan Smith and Patrick Queen (combined 291 tackles), allowed a league-low 16.5 points per game. The Ravens also lead the NFL in takeaways (31) and sacks (60), with Justin Madubuike having 13. The team is also hoping Pro Bowl cornerback Marlon Humphrey and star tight end Mark Andrews can return from injury on Sunday. Here’s a look at which team to pick.
Why can the chief cover
Patrick Mahomes is 9-1-1 in his career as an underdog, and he and Travis Kelce are one of the greatest playoff duos of all-time. He has hooked up for 16 career playoff TDs, the most in NFL history, and has come in five conference title games. Mahomes has at least 340 passing yards in all four meetings with the Ravens, and the two-time MVP has won 13 playoff games. Mahomes has 10 TD passes and zero interceptions, leading five straight wins in the postseason.
The Chiefs are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 postseason games, and receiver Rashee Rice has emerged as another reliable option for Mahomes. The rookie has 177 yards in two playoff games and 55 total receptions in the last seven. KC can almost match Baltimore’s defense, as the Chiefs rank second in sacks (57) and scoring defense (17.3 points per game). They rank second in total defense (292.5 yards per game) and fourth against the pass (177.6). Here’s a look at which team to pick.
How to Make Chiefs vs. Ravens Picks
Tierney has analyzed the Ravens vs. Chiefs from every angle and is leaning down on the total points, but he has also discovered a key X-factor that has him jumping to one side of the spread. He’s sharing only on SportsLine what it is and which side to support.
Who wins Chiefs vs. Ravens in Sunday’s 2024 AFC Championship Game, and which key X-factor brings one side of the spread must-win? Head over to SportsLine now to see which side of the Ravens vs. Chiefs spread gets hit hard, with all the experts going 48-19 on picks tied to Baltimore, and find out.